XRP has experienced significant price volatility in recent days, dropping from $2.8 to $1.58 during a market-wide slump. However, the cryptocurrency has since recovered, trading around $2.5.
According to market analyst Xaif Crypto, this recovery is linked to a key indicator: the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). The SOPR metric recently dropped to 0.95, the lowest level seen in six months, sparking speculation about XRP’s next price movement. Xaif suggests that XRP could target $3.10 to $3.35 if the current pattern holds.
📊 #XRP SOPR just dropped to 0.95 lowest in 6 months!
Last time SOPR hit 0.92 (Apr 7), XRP bounced +35% from $1.90 → $2.58.
Now with a low near $2.38, next potential target: $3.10–$3.35 pic.twitter.com/LVj3lINXpa
— Xaif Crypto🇮🇳|🇺🇸 (@Xaif_Crypto) October 13, 2025
The SOPR metric provides insight into whether investors are selling at a profit or a loss. When SOPR falls below 1, it indicates that investors are selling their XRP at a loss. On the other hand, a SOPR above 1 suggests that they are selling at a profit. Historical data shows that XRP’s SOPR had remained above 1 since April, even peaking above 1.6 in May when XRP’s price reached $2.66. However, following the market crash on October 10, the SOPR dropped to 0.95, marking the lowest point since April.
This sharp decline in the SOPR suggests that investors panicked and sold their XRP, contributing to the significant price drop. The current situation mirrors an earlier instance when XRP’s price hit a low of $1.61 in April. At that time, the SOPR reached 0.92, but XRP quickly recovered to $2.58, marking a 35% rebound. Xaif Crypto highlights this recovery pattern, suggesting that a similar price increase could occur if the SOPR remains at or near 0.95.
If the price of XRP follows the same recovery pattern seen in April, a 35% rebound could push XRP’s price to $3.10 to $3.35. This range would bring XRP above the critical $3 psychological mark, a significant milestone for the asset. Xaif believes that reaching this target could initiate a long-term rally for XRP. The market analyst’s prediction aligns with the view that the drop in SOPR signals a temporary market panic rather than a long-term bearish trend.
The bullish outlook is further supported by chart analysis from other experts. Veteran market analyst Peter Brandt recently identified a long-term bullish structure in XRP, labeling the chart “pure.” Meanwhile, CryptoInsightUK speculates that XRP could experience even more significant gains, potentially reaching between $8 and $12.
I've given you my case as to why I think $XRP's next leg takes us out to $8.00 – $12.00. This is the area I've said I'll deleverage heavily.
Isn't it funny looking at this recent liquidation event and throwing a fib on there to see where the price would take us to if we see a… pic.twitter.com/qBt2wclIIl
— Cryptoinsightuk (@Cryptoinsightuk) October 13, 2025
With such diverse opinions indicating upward momentum, investors are closely watching the SOPR metric for further signs of recovery. The combination of a low SOPR and a potential rebound sets the stage for XRP’s next significant price move.
In conclusion, XRP’s recent market behavior, particularly the drop in SOPR to 0.95, points to a potential recovery toward the $3 target. If history repeats itself, XRP could experience a 35% rebound, pushing prices toward a key resistance level.
Maxwell is a crypto-economic analyst and blockchain enthusiast, passionate about helping people understand the potential of decentralized technology. His goal is to spread knowledge about this revolutionary technology and its implications for economic freedom and social good.
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