Premier League predictions and best bets: Tottenham to relish underdog tag and beat Arsenal – Sky Sports

                                     <a href="/football"                                             class="sdc-site-localnav__header-title" data-role="nav-header"                                             aria-controls="sdc-site-localnav-body" aria-expanded="false">                                             <svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 34 34" class="sdc-site-localnav__icon">                                                 <path                                                     d="M6.02 12.67c.01.194.087.362.247.525l.188.192L16.52 23.45c.188.19.44.294.706.294s.518-.104.707-.293l10.135-10.134.123-.126c.162-.163.24-.332.248-.53.006-.173-.155-.438-.442-.725-.187-.187-.386-.368-.59-.537-.05-.04-.096-.078-.138-.11l-.496.495-9.193 9.193-.355.354-.354-.354-9.197-9.198-.484-.484c-.043.033-.09.07-.14.112-.204.168-.402.348-.59.536-.285.288-.446.553-.44.727z" />                                             </svg>Football                                         </a>                                     <br><strong>Watch Leeds vs Aston Villa, Arsenal vs Tottenham & Manchester United vs Everton live on Sky Sports</strong><br>           Football Journalist       <br>Sunday 23 November 2025 06:31, UK<br>Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the Premier League and makes a case for Tottenham to win at Arsenal.<br>The offside trap is back at Aston Villa.<br>It's not just a quirk, not just a tactical flourish, it's become the heartbeat of the defensive identity under Unai Emery. And crucially, there's a genuine correlation between Villa getting that line right and Villa winning football matches.<br>Whenever Villa's back four snap into line as one, they suffocate opponents. Attacks stall, runners misfire and dangerous moments dissolve into a raised flag and a reset.<br>Villa are catching the opposition offside 4.5 times per game across their last 12 games. And, in the last seven Premier League games they've caught 28 players offside - the most of any team by 10.<br>It's no-coincidence then they've managed to win five of their last six Premier League matches. And Leeds do like to commit bodies forward in direct fashion. That tactical philosophy is tailor-made for Emery's razor-precise trap to flourish once again.<br>All roads lead to backing Aston Villa to win at 6/4 with Sky Bet. If the flags are flying, Villa should be too.<br>               Stream Sky Sports on NOW             <br>               Download the Sky Sports App             <br>Gabriel is the lynchpin of this Arsenal defence - their high line, their aerial insurance policy and their most physical presence in the back four. Without him, Arsenal may have a problem in the next few weeks if his abductor injury is as bad as early reports suggest. Starting here.<br>Tottenham under Thomas Frank will enjoy this derby day assignment.<br>Few managers in the league coach 'underdog football' as effectively as the former Brentford boss.<br>Frank's Brentford side made a habit of punishing big teams. The smart money says he'll try to copy-paste that blueprint here: frustrate, pounce, exploit the absence of Arsenal's defensive enforcer from both open play and set pieces. Spurs have the quality to make a big move in the game - like they did away at Manchester City and in the Super Cup vs PSG.<br>The betting is obviously trending towards Arsenal at 2/5 with Sky Bet but that doesn't fully account for the defensive reshuffle forced by Gabriel's absence. Arsenal can and still probably will win, of course, but Tottenham suddenly have a real foothold in the match-up, and the market doesn't quite reflect it.<br>Tottenham double chance it is then at 2/1 with Sky Bet. And, the 7/1 on an away win needs a good look, too.<br>Manchester United should come with a disclaimer: 'entertaining but structurally unstable.'<br>Ruben Amorim has a team overflowing with attacking talent, energy and moments of genuine quality yet one that carries enough defensive looseness to turn every 90 minutes into a wild ride. There have been 37 goals in their Premier League games - working to an average of 3.36 per 90. No team averages higher.<br>They are the must-watch team in the Premier League because of it.<br>Amorim has realised that they are a team built for moments - not for consistency - and he's embracing it.<br>And, goals at both ends are becoming the smartest angle in United's games.<br>This looks a clash where both teams will fancy themselves going forward and neither will fully trust themselves without the ball. Sky Bet go 10/11 on both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and that looks very backable considering the direction of travel in United games.<br>Super 6 are starting the season by guaranteeing a £1,000,000 winner! 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