XRP is trading in a tight price range, sparking interest among traders. With six ETFs already launched and more on the way by the end of May, the circulating supply has risen to 3.5 billion tokens. Will the battle between institutional demand and selling pressure determine a rally towards $5?
Written by Simon Dumoulin
Translated on October 11, 2025 at 10:05 by Simon Dumoulin
The ETF ecosystem for XRP is experiencing rapid expansion that could redefine price dynamics in the medium term. Six investment vehicles are already operational, offering institutional and retail investors regulated exposure to the token without the technical constraints of direct ownership.
This proliferation of financial products around XRP comes amid a favorable context for the Ripple ecosystem as a whole. The RLUSD stablecoin now boasts a market cap of $788.51 million according to DeFiLlama data, confirming the growing adoption of payment solutions developed by Ripple. This metric serves as an indirect indicator of market participants’ confidence in the infrastructure built around XRP.
These ETFs bring institutional liquidity that functions as a buffer against selling waves. Unlike retail holders who often react emotionally to price fluctuations, ETF flows respond to more stable and predictable asset allocation strategies. This characteristic could prove decisive in the coming weeks.
$XRP ETF Countdown
Only 7 days until Grayscale ETF approval! 🙌 pic.twitter.com/qvLYFP46sH
XRP’s supply mechanism differs fundamentally from most cryptocurrencies. Approximately 35 billion tokens remain locked in escrow smart contracts, with programmed monthly releases of up to 1 billion XRP. This regular injection of new supply represents a permanent challenge for price maintenance.
The recent increase in supply on exchanges, which has risen from 2.85 to 3.5 billion tokens, concretely illustrates the impact of these monthly releases. In a traditional market, such an expansion of available supply would trigger a significant correction. The fact that XRP maintains its current price range demonstrates effective absorption by demand.
The technical support between $2.70 and $2.75 currently constitutes the main battlefield between buyers and sellers. The bulls have been defending this zone for several weeks despite the growing supply pressure. Prolonged consolidation at these levels typically prepares for an explosive breakout, either upward or downward depending on the direction of the breakthrough.
XRP’s chart analysis reveals a descending triangle formation, a typical pattern of accumulation phases before a major directional movement. This technical structure is developing against a backdrop of general uncertainty in the crypto market, with a predominantly cautious sentiment among traders.
Maintaining support at $2.70-$2.75 remains the critical element to watch in the upcoming sessions. As long as this floor holds, the probability of a rebound toward more ambitious targets remains intact. A bullish breakout from this consolidation zone could propel XRP toward $5 by the end of 2025, particularly if ETF inflows accelerate as anticipated.
Conversely, a bearish breakdown of this support would invalidate the optimistic scenario and expose the token to a deeper correction. This scenario would indicate that institutional demand is failing to offset the supply expansion, signaling an unfavorable imbalance in the market structure.
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