Category: Crypto Hub

LILPEPE Crypto Price Prediction: Powerful Factors Set to Push This Meme Coin to $1 and Beyond  Analytics Insight
source

In the world of digital assets, prices move faster than headlines, yet not always in the same direction everywhere. For Henry Kershaw, Senior Strategy Analyst at BridgemontEquity.com this mismatch is not chaos. It is opportunity!
Kershaw believes one of the most overlooked drivers of crypto pricing is regulatory variability. Countries with different rules, exchange restrictions, compliance systems, or trading limits often trade the same asset at different prices. In traditional markets, this gap would disappear quickly. In crypto, it still lingers and smart investors are acting on it.
“People assume price differences are errors,” Kershaw says. “But they’re signals. They show where one market is constrained and another is moving freely. That is where arbitrage becomes possible.”
The Roots of Price Inequality
Crypto is one of the only global markets that trades continuously yet remains fragmented by geography. Taxes differ. Trading limits differ. Banking access differs. Some nations encourage digital asset adoption. Others limit it. The result is a market where the same coin may be cheaper in one country and more expensive in another, not because of demand, but because of regulation.
For example, in regions where crypto is harder to convert back into cash, prices may run higher due to restricted liquidity. In areas with strict onboarding rules, fewer participants can access the market, pushing prices down. These forces exist outside the blockchain itself. They live in laws, not code.
The Arbitrage Advantage
Arbitrage is not about predicting market direction, it is about capturing price contrast. When Bitcoin trades at a premium in one country and a discount in another, an arbitrage trader can buy low in one jurisdiction and sell high in another, often within minutes.
Kershaw explains that institutional players have already noticed. Some hedge funds and proprietary traders build entire strategies around border crossing pricing gaps. But individual investors can benefit too, especially those who understand where regulation creates friction, rather than clarity.
A Wider Institutional Trend
Bridgemont Equity tracks the spread between global Bitcoin prices and finds that periods of regulatory change often create new arbitrage windows. When Japan adjusts compliance rules, Singapore tightens capital flows, or Canada updates exchange frameworks, price dispersion follows.
Kershaw notes that this is especially true during periods of market stress. When volatility spikes, capital controls slow the flow of crypto from one region to another. Prices decouple. That is not inefficiency, it is segmentation.
Risks, Realities, And Timing
Arbitrage is not without risk. If regulation changes in the middle of the trade, if capital movement is delayed, or if liquidity dries up, the window can close before a trader exits. Successful participants rely on timing, speed, and reliable execution channels. That is why this strategy is considered advanced rather than casual.
Still, Kershaw sees it becoming more common as crypto infrastructure improves. More exchanges. Faster settlement. More institutional gateways. All allow traders to operate across markets with greater confidence.
The Bigger Picture
Regulatory variability will not disappear soon. Governments are moving at different speeds, with different priorities, and often with conflicting interpretations of digital assets. That inconsistency can frustrate investors, but it also creates a unique form of value extraction that does not exist in more synchronized financial systems.
Kershaw views this as part of crypto’s maturation curve. “Eventually, regulation will standardize,” he says. “But until then, price differences are a feature, not a flaw. Arbitrage rewards those who understand the landscape, not just the technology.”
Disclaimer: This article is purely informational and doesn’t offer trading or financial advice. Its content is not intended to be investment advice. We do not guarantee the validity of the information, especially when it pertains to third-party references or hyperlinks.
Copyright (c) 2025 TheNewswire – All rights reserved.

All market data (will open in new tab) is provided by Barchart Solutions. Copyright © 2025.
Information is provided 'as is' and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice. For exchange delays and terms of use, please read disclaimer (will open in new tab).
© Copyright 2025 The Globe and Mail Inc. All rights reserved.
Andrew Saunders, President and CEO

source

Permanent link to this press release:

Delete press release

Edit press release

All 5 Releases

source

   Senior Lecturer in Finance, University of Otago     <br><span>Olena Onishchenko does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.</span><br><a class="logo" href="/institutions/university-of-otago-1304"><picture><source srcset="https://images.theconversation.com/partners/1539/logos/logo-1714535839.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&q=45&auto=format&w=170&h=170" media="(min-width:600px)"></source><img alt="University of Otago" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAD/ACwAAAAAAQABAAACADs%3D" /></picture></a><br><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-otago-1304">University of Otago</a> provides funding as a member of The Conversation AU.<br><a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/university-of-otago-1304">University of Otago</a> provides funding as a member of The Conversation NZ.<br><a href="/us/partners">View all partners</a><br><a href="https://doi.org/10.64628/AA.vned37cws">https://doi.org/10.64628/AA.vned37cws</a><br>Share article<br>Print article<br>For over a decade, <a href="https://www.fma.govt.nz/consumer/investing/types-of-investments/cryptocurrencies/">cryptocurrency</a> has been synonymous with a promise of freedom: access to a decentralised digital realm operating beyond the reach of traditional banks and governments.<br>That promise is about to be broken.<br>A global tax crackdown is coming for crypto, and New Zealand is very much part of it. Starting in 2026, the Inland Revenue Department (IRD) will gain unprecedented access to trading histories, whether investors are using local exchanges or offshore platforms. <br>The Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (<a href="https://www.ird.govt.nz/international-tax/exchange-of-information/crypto-asset-reporting-framework">CARF</a>), a new international standard, takes effect from April 1 next year. This will close a major gap in global tax transparency for crypto. <br>The CARF is the crypto cousin of the OECD’s <a href="https://www.ird.govt.nz/international-tax/exchange-of-information/crs/aeoi-and-crs">Common Reporting Standard</a> which requires financial institutions to identify and share information about accounts held by foreign tax residents. This makes it far more difficult to hide assets offshore to evade taxes. <br>Until now, the major challenge has been the sheer volume of unreported offshore crypto activity. A <a href="https://www.ird.govt.nz/-/media/project/ir/home/documents/about-us/publications/annual-and-corporate-reports/annual-reports/annual-report-2025.pdf?modified=20251029230138">recent IRD report</a> revealed 80% of cryptocurrency transactions by New Zealanders occur on overseas trading platforms. The IRD simply couldn’t access this data. <br>The scale of what’s been invisible is significant. The same IRD report identified 188,000 New Zealanders who traded NZ$7.2 billion in cryptocurrencies through local exchanges alone between June 2024 and June 2025. <br>The market is highly concentrated, with just 1.5% of traders responsible for 79% of that total. As of June 30 this year, more than 150 high-value customers remained under review, with tens of millions of dollars in tax at risk. <br>According to its regulatory impact statement, the CARF could generate approximately <a href="https://www.taxpolicy.ird.govt.nz/-/media/project/ir/tp/publications/2024/2024-ris-crypto-asset-reporting-framework.pdf?modified=20240606040408&modified=20240606040408">$50 million in additional annual tax revenue</a> for New Zealand.<br><br>From April 1, New Zealand-based crypto service providers must begin collecting information on specified transactions. By June 30 of 2027, that data goes to the IRD. <br>Crypto-asset service providers report trades to their own country’s tax authority. Those authorities then share the data automatically with others in participating OECD countries. <br>So, IRD will receive information from local providers about trades executed on their own platforms, and about offshore trades through international data-sharing.<br>The CARF captures three key transaction types:<br>• crypto-to-local-currency exchanges: converting your crypto into New Zealand dollars or your New Zealand dollars into crypto triggers a report<br>• crypto-to-crypto trades: swapping one digital asset for another (for example, <a href="https://ethereum.org/">Ethereum</a> for a <a href="https://www.coinbase.com/en-gb/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-a-stablecoin">stablecoin</a>) gets captured too<br>• significant transfers: moving crypto assets from one wallet to another.<br>Service providers – exchanges, brokers and crypto wallet operators – will collect your name, address, date of birth and tax identification number, then report your transaction data. <br>That information flows to the IRD, then to tax authorities in other CARF countries. Meanwhile, New Zealand receives data on foreign investors using local platforms.<br>The effect is simple: crypto transactions become as visible to tax authorities as your bank account and share portfolio.<br>The core rules have not changed. The IRD treats cryptocurrency as property, not currency. Every realised capital gain from crypto activities creates a potential tax liability. <br>Selling for cash, trading for another token, or using crypto to buy a car all count as taxable events. Your gain – the difference between the sale price and the cost price of your crypto – is treated as taxable income. <br>For example, suppose you buy a fraction of one Bitcoin for $10,000 and later sell it for $15,000. The $5,000 gain counts as taxable income. At a 33% tax rate, you would owe $1,650.<br>However, crypto’s volatility can also work to your advantage through a strategy called <a href="https://www.ml.com/articles/what-is-tax-loss-harvesting.html">tax-loss harvesting</a>. When you sell an asset for less than you paid, the resulting loss can generally be deducted from other taxable gains or income, lowering your overall tax bill.<br>So, if you sold that Bitcoin for $9,000 instead of $15,000, your $1,000 loss is deducted from other taxable income. At a 33% tax rate, your tax bill drops by $330.<br>The IRD doesn’t distinguish much between deliberate evasion and sloppy record-keeping. <br>Deliberate tax evasion can attract penalties of <a href="https://www.ird.govt.nz/managing-my-tax/penalties-and-interest/penalties-and-debt/shortfall-penalties#:%7E:text=The%20penalty%20for%20evasion%20is%20150%25%20of%20the%20resulting%20shortfall.">up to 150% of the unpaid tax</a>. In extreme cases, it can lead to criminal prosecution and imprisonment. <br>Even honest mistakes are expensive. The IRD can charge use-of-money interest on unpaid tax from the day it was due. Penalties for lack of reasonable care range from <a href="https://www.ird.govt.nz/managing-my-tax/penalties-and-interest/penalties-and-debt/shortfall-penalties#:%7E:text=The%20penalty%20for%20gross%20carelessness%20is%2040%25%20of%20the%20resulting%20tax%20shortfall.">20% to 40%</a> of the amount of tax you should have paid but didn’t.<br>The burden falls entirely on investors. They need to keep records of the date, type, amount and dollar value for every crypto trade, transfer and disposal. <br>Every transaction and swap counts. Investors will need to estimate what they will owe and set aside funds in a dedicated tax account. <br>If those records are incomplete or nonexistent, there is only a narrow window to fix it. The 2026-27 income year is closer than it seems, and when CARF takes effect, the IRD will finally see everything.<br>     Write an article and join a growing community of more than 215,500 academics and researchers from 5,380 institutions.   <br>     <a class="button" href="/become-an-author">Register now</a>   <br>       Copyright © 2010–2025, <a href="https://theconversation.com/us/who-we-are">The Conversation US, Inc.</a>     <br><br><a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPQkU1YzlKbHRHM1RGTFlrd2RJUVh1el9MZ2QxR09ZNTBnbHNzamxRQXFJMW5Xd3pmZ1ZxRUVJc09OTkZ2QjRfV3JyeDN2cFgtdXQ4UWdRRTR3bFFKOU9IVDVuSFUyS1E0Y2JtNTJabHpxcVpVODhOb3ZtaXM3eHZ6MHlHMVhlUlVpQWV2LVUyTl81YncyUFdnYjJyeF9QZnNwZGdhYkRDTjNXRVJVZ291dF9ubw?oc=5">source</a>

Pi Coin Cannot Afford To Hit The Brakes — A 34% Breakdown Gets Triggered If It Slows  Yahoo Finance
source

Jakarta, Pintu News – Pi Network has been one of the best performing crypto assets this month. Its price rose by almost 11%, while Bitcoin and Ethereum fell by around 20% and 26%, respectively. However, this strength also comes with a warning.
The price chart shows a pattern that could lead to a drop of up to 34% if a key level is not successfully defended. This raises a simple question: Is Pi Coin still safe as long as the price continues to rise, or are there danger signals starting to show?
On November 28, 2025, the price of Pi Network was recorded at $0.2611, an increase of 3.1% in 24 hours. If converted into the current rupiah ($1 = IDR 16,641), then 1 Pi Network is IDR 4,345. During the period, the PI price moved in the range of $0.2515 to $0.2797.
Read also: 3 Most Shining Crypto on Thanksgiving Day – Will the Uptrend Continue?
Currently, Pi Coin’s market capitalization stands at $2.79 billion, while its fully diluted valuation stands at $3.36 billion. Trading activity is also quite active, with a daily transaction volume of around $55.9 million.
Pi Coin is currently forming a clear head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a technical pattern that often appears before a price decline. The neckline of this pattern is around $0.21.
If the Pi price closes below this level, then the distance between the “head” and the neckline indicates a possible price drop of up to 34%.
To avoid such risks, Pi Coin needs to break the “head” level of the pattern, which is above $0.29. This means that the price will have to rise even more sharply to get out of the correction threat.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI)-an indicator that measures buying and selling strength-showed a hidden bearish divergence. Between November 20 and 26, Pi Coin’s price formed lower highs, while the RSI formed higher highs.
This pattern usually signals a continuation of an ongoing trend – and in the last 30 days, Pi Coin’s main trend is actually still weak, despite the price increase in the last month.
Read also: Dogecoin Price Touches $0.15 Today: DOGE Bullish Signal Strengthening?
This means that the price increase is real, but the technical structure shows that if the upward momentum slows down, the direction of movement could quickly reverse downwards. And this could be a negative signal for the Pi Coin price going forward.
On November 27, Pi Coin briefly traded around $0.26, but this level was not enough to determine the direction of the next move. The crucial level that could invalidate the bearish pattern (head-and-shoulders) is at $0.29.
If the daily price closes above $0.29, then the head-and-shoulders pattern is considered invalid and Pi Coin has a chance to go higher. This would indicate that the uptrend is still in control. However, as long as that hasn’t happened, any price drops need to be watched out for.
The first support is around $0.23. If this level is broken, attention will be drawn to the next support zone in the $0.20-$0.22 range – which is also the neckline area of the previous pattern.
A daily price close below this zone could trigger a full decline target of up to 34%, meaning the Pi Coin price could drop to around $0.19 or even lower if market conditions worsen.
The conclusion is quite clear:
At the moment, Pi Coin “must not put on the brakes.” Its uptrend will only last as long as the price keeps moving up.
Pi Coin is a cryptocurrency that has recently shown significant gains compared to other cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).
The head and shoulders pattern is often considered a bearish indicator that shows a potential price drop if confirmed, which is important for predictions and investment strategies.
The critical prices to watch out for are $0.29 for potential upside and $0.21 for potential downside.
That’s the latest information about crypto. Follow us on Google News to get the latest crypto news about crypto projects and blockchain technology. Also, learn crypto from scratch with complete discussion through Pintu Academy and stay up-to-date with the latest crypto market such as bitcoin price today, xrp coin price today, dogecoin and other crypto asset prices through Pintu Market.
Enjoy an easy and secure crypto trading experience by downloading Pintu crypto app via Google Play Store or App Store now. Also, get a web trading experience with various advanced trading tools such as pro charting, various types of order types, and portfolio tracker only at Pintu Pro.
*Disclaimer
This content aims to enrich readers’ information. Pintu collects this information from various relevant sources and is not influenced by outside parties. Note that an asset’s past performance does not determine its projected future performance. Crypto trading activities have high risk and volatility, always do your own research and use cold cash before investing. All activities of buying and selling bitcoin and other crypto asset investments are the responsibility of the reader.
Reference:

source

Bitcoin Treasury Stocks: How to Read mNAV — and Why NYDIG Says It Falls Short  CoinDesk
source

Spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are one of the biggest narratives and have been a game-changer in the cryptocurrency space in the past two years. With these investment products, people get to participate in the cryptocurrency market without having to directly own the digital assets.
Interestingly, one of the biggest winners—that often gets overlooked—has been the issuers, especially as the crypto industry has seen increased institutional adoption since the Bitcoin ETFs launched. According to the firm’s executive, the BTC exchange-traded funds becoming the major source of revenue for BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, was not envisioned.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin Funds Outweighing Expectations 
At the Blockchain Conference 2025 in São Paulo on Friday, November 28, BlackRock’s business development director in Brazil, Cristiano Castro, told reporters that the Bitcoin ETFs are the largest revenue source for their company. According to the executive, this development came as a “big surprise” to the asset management firm.
Castro said in a statement:
We were very optimistic when we launched, but we didn’t believe it would reach such proportions. Just to give you an idea, it [IBIT in the US and IBIT39 in Brazil – the asset’s reference names] came very close to US$100 billion [in allocation].
This feat is notable for the Bitcoin ETFs, especially considering that BlackRock offers more than 1,400 exchange-traded products globally and has a whopping $13.4 trillion in assets under management. The US-based Bitcoin fund (with the IBIT ticker) has over $70.7 billion in net assets, becoming the first ETF to reach the $70-billion mark (doing so in June 2025).
While the US Bitcoin ETF market has somewhat slowed down, BlackRock’s IBIT still continues to outpace other ETFs launched in recent years. As earlier reports suggested, IBIT had managed to generate roughly $245 million in annual fees as of October 2025.
Bitcoin ETF Outflows ‘Perfectly Normal’ – Castro
When asked about the recent outflows from BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF as the market leader’s value fell, the director stated that there are zero surprises in that trend. “ETFs are very liquid and powerful instruments, and they serve precisely to allow people to allocate their capital and manage their cash flow,” Castro noted.
The BlackRock director said that the withdrawals are expected, considering that the product is heavily owned by retail investors, who are reactionary in nature to price corrections. On Friday, the iShares Bitcoin Trust saw a net outflow of $113.72 million, bringing the weekly record to a negative $137.01 million and the fund to its fifth-consecutive week of withdrawals.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Select market data provided by ICE Data Services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc.Copyright © 2025, American Bankers Association. CUSIP Database provided by FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. SEC fillings and other documents provided by Quartr.© 2025 TradingView, Inc.

source

Written & Edited by
Lockridge Okoth
On December 1, 2025, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will officially end Quantitative Tightening (QT), freezing its balance sheet at $6.57 trillion after draining $2.39 trillion from the system.
Analysts point to parallels with 2019, when the last QT pause coincided with a major bottom in altcoins and a surge in Bitcoin. With liquidity returning and interest rates already cut to 3.75–4.00%, crypto markets are bracing for a potentially bullish shift.
The Fed’s halt of its balance sheet runoff comes amid strained bank reserves, now roughly $3 trillion, or about 10% of US GDP. The Overnight Reverse Repo facility, which previously absorbed $2.5 trillion in excess cash, has dropped to near zero, removing a key liquidity buffer.
October 2025 saw the Secured Overnight Financing Rate spike to 4.25%, exceeding the Fed’s target range. The Standing Repo Facility recorded a single-day activation of $18.5 billion, reflecting persistent demand for liquidity.
FOMC minutes from October 29 detail operational adjustments designed to improve policy transmission.
“The Committee decided to conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1,” read an excerpt in the Fed’s October 29 statement.
This means that QT officially ends on December 1, and the Fed will stop letting its securities mature without reinvestment. From that day forward, the balance sheet will no longer shrink.
The Committee noted that downside risks to employment have risen, even though unemployment remains low, and inflation is “somewhat elevated.”
Analysts note that this marks a long-term shift: the Standing Repo Facility, initially an emergency tool, now functions as a permanent daily liquidity provider, effectively embedding the Fed in Treasury market operations.
Researcher Shanaka Anslem describes this as the “Standing Repo Era,” a structural transformation with lasting implications for global finance.
THE FED JUST CROSSED A THRESHOLD NO ONE IS DISCUSSING

December 1, 2025. The Federal Reserve terminates Quantitative Tightening. Balance sheet frozen at $6.57 trillion. The largest liquidity withdrawal in central banking history ends after draining $2.39 trillion from the… pic.twitter.com/W0QjrXC3JB
Crypto analysts are drawing direct comparisons to August 2019, when the Fed ended QT, and altcoins bottomed.
$OTHERSBTC & $WALCL (Fed Balance Sheet)

The End of QT marked the bottom on $OTHERSBTC back in August 2019

This time, QT ends on December 1, 2025 👀

The $Alts Supercycle begins tomorrow! pic.twitter.com/IaoA2NoIrf
While past performance is not a guarantee, key indicators support cautious optimism:
The end of QT could inject up to $95 billion per month in liquidity, supporting large-cap cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and BNB.
Gold’s recent all-time highs provide additional correlation, as BTC often lags gold price moves by roughly 12 weeks.
Meanwhile,the Fed’s December 10 FOMC meeting occurs amid unusual conditions:
The US federal debt exceeds $36 trillion, with annual interest costs above $1 trillion. The Standing Repo Facility now enables rapid monetization of Treasury collateral, representing a structural shift with long-term market implications.
Some crypto analysts anticipate an immediate rally following QT’s end, while others see a smaller altseason within 2–3 months and a larger market cycle in 2027–2028.
🚨 Fed Liquidity is Here: The Crypto Melt-Up Starts Now 🚨

The Fed is on the verge of ending QT, just like 2019 and that means one thing: Liquidity is coming back.

If you know what this means for #Bitcoin and altcoins, you should be excited.

Here’s why I think this is the…
Consensus holds that liquidity, rather than hype or Bitcoin halvings, has historically driven crypto cycles.
December 1 marks a critical turning point as the Fed’s liquidity pivot could remove one major obstacle for risk assets. The move could set the stage for crypto markets to respond, whether through a mini rally or the early stages of a broader Supercycle.
While QT ends on December 1, the Fed emphasized that future adjustments to the federal funds rate will depend on incoming data and changing economic risks.
This signals that the Fed is keeping monetary policy flexible, prepared to adjust rates or other measures if necessary.
Investors should watch interest rate guidance, Treasury liquidity operations, and M2 money supply trends in the coming weeks.

Daily Crypto Insights
Insights, news and analysis of the crypto market straight to your inbox
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

source

Written by
Ananda Banerjee
Edited by
Mohammad Shahid
Monad has dropped over 47% from its post-listing high in just four days. The Monad price chart shows a rapid launch spike followed by a sharp downside slide, a pattern similar to how Pi Coin traded immediately after its launch. Both are new layer-1 projects that launched with strong attention, but both slipped quickly after launch.
This piece compares the chart structures and then examines whether MON is exhibiting the same sustained weakness as Pi Coin, or if its own setup still indicates signs of stability.
Pi Coin lost 86.57% of its value within the first six weeks after listing and is now down more than 91% from its post-launch high.
Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.
Monad has followed a similar opening path, dropping 47.57% from its peak in only four days.
Both charts show the same early traits:
The key difference is the market backdrop. Pi Coin launched during a stronger crypto environment earlier this year. And when it dropped, it couldn’t even recover half of its losses despite BTC hitting new highs in early October.
Monad is entering a weaker market where liquidity is thin and large assets are struggling to hold momentum. So the odds are certainly not in favor.
Even though the price-specific parallel between MON and PI is clear on the surface, the next step is to look deeper into Monad’s own chart and structure to see whether the weakness continues or if there are early signs of support forming.
Monad’s internal picture becomes weaker once we examine how big money has behaved since the listing week.
The first signal comes from CMF, which tracks whether bigger buyers are sending money into an asset or pulling it out. After the initial post-launch spike, the token stabilized near the end of October, which is when CMF became usable. From that point, the money-flow line has moved only one way — down.
Since October 27, CMF has dropped by more than 270% and has remained below zero for most of the decline. A fall under zero means larger buyers are stepping aside, not adding support.
Even big market players like Arthur Hayes have expressed doubts regarding Monad, citing the significant outflows of capital.
Arthur Hayes shares his thoughts on Monad

“I have no belief that this is a legitimate blockchain” 😬😬 pic.twitter.com/56g2ksWIkF
MON’s CMF is now sitting close to its lowest reading since the token went live, which usually signals that confidence from deeper pockets has not returned.
This mirrors what Pi Coin showed in its first twenty days. Its CMF collapsed by almost 330% early on, and the price drifted lower for weeks.
The second problem appears in the bull-bear power reading. BBP measures whether buyers or sellers have more control of momentum. When BBP leans this heavily negative while CMF keeps making new lows, even recoveries tend to be short-lived.
Taken together, these signs indicate that Monad is not yet attracting strong bidding. The MON price chart appears bearish, and both metrics indicate that buyers remain hesitant. Even if short-term bounces appear, a meaningful reversal looks difficult unless large amounts of money return and momentum turns upward.
With money flow weakening and sellers in full control, the last piece of the puzzle is the price structure itself. The short-term trend on the 4-hour Monad price chart has pointed down since November 26, and the candles have respected that slope without any meaningful shift.
In this phase, the chart works like a simple extension map where each failed bounce pushes the next level into focus.
If Monad loses $0.026, the slide can extend toward $0.023, which is the next clear continuation level on the trend-based extension. If momentum remains weak and money flow continues to decline, even $0.013 remains on the table as a deeper projection.
These levels appear far, but Pi Coin also continued to slide post-launch, and the similarity in the early structure is hard to ignore.
Any recovery attempt needs to start with a move back above $0.029. That only stabilizes the structure. The real shift appears only if Monad closes above $0.039 and then $0.040.
A push above those bands would break the current slope, rebuild confidence, and weaken the comparison with Pi Coin’s early chart.
For now, Monad trades under both of those marks, with money flow still near its lows and momentum held by sellers. Unless those two conditions flip, the path of least resistance remains down, and the parallel with Pi Coin stays alive rather than fading.
Daily Crypto Insights
Insights, news and analysis of the crypto market straight to your inbox
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

source