While Bitcoin and Ethereum are plunging by 3 to 12%, Pi Coin is limiting losses to 1.5%. Despite this impressive resilience, conflicting technical signals are dividing traders between silent accumulation and weakening momentum. The next price move could settle the debate.
Written by Simon Dumoulin
Translated on October 15, 2025 at 12:59 by Simon Dumoulin
Analysis of the Money Flow Index (MFI) reveals an encouraging signal for bullish traders. Between August 1 and October 9, while Pi Coin price was recording successively lower lows, the MFI continued its upward progression. This classic bullish divergence suggests that quiet accumulation is taking place during price weakness phases. Retail investors appear to be taking advantage of dips to strengthen their positions, creating latent buying pressure that could fuel a future rebound.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) tells a different story. Between October 6 and 13, a hidden bearish divergence formed: the price traced a lower high while the RSI displayed a higher high. This pattern typically indicates weakening momentum despite recovery attempts. Short-term rallies lack conviction and could quickly exhaust themselves.
These two signals aren’t necessarily contradictory but likely reflect different phases of the same market cycle. The MFI captures early accumulation by smart money, while the RSI warns that any recovery will need to overcome significant resistance before becoming sustainable. For traders, caution remains advisable until the direction is clearly confirmed.
Structurally, Pi Coin is evolving within a falling wedge on the daily chart, a chartist figure generally interpreted as a bullish reversal pattern. This technical configuration implies a compression of volatility that often precedes a strong directional movement.
The level to watch is $0.29. A daily close above this threshold would confirm a bullish breakout from the wedge and likely attract new buying flows. Referencing the precedent of September 22, when Pi Coin jumped 57% from $0.18 to $0.29, a similar scenario remains possible. Short-term targets would then be around $0.24-0.25, with a possible extension toward $0.29 if momentum accelerates.
Currently, Pi Coin is trading around $0.21 with solid support identified at $0.18 and $0.15. A clean break below $0.15 would invalidate the bullish falling wedge scenario and open the door to further declines. Conversely, maintaining these support levels while building a stable price base would set the stage for a potential bullish acceleration.
Pi Coin’s behavior in the coming days will be decisive. Either the accumulation revealed by the MFI finally prevails and propels the price above $0.29, or the weakness in the RSI extends the consolidation or even triggers a new decline. The falling wedge will serve as the final arbiter to decide between these two opposing scenarios.
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